KeystoneSpeculator Profile

Keystone
Join Date:
2011-10-13
Blogs Owned
1. Keybot the Quant
Keybot the Quantâ„¢ is a statistical arbitrage algorithm, or, more simply, a stock market timing model, that oscillates from long to short (bullish to bearish) using the SPX (S&P 500) as the benchmark index.
2. The Keystone Speculator
Simple and easy technical analysis (TA), stock chart patterns, support and resistance, divergences and trend lines.
Latest Blog Posts
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENTon May 22, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo wants to flip short but the internal signals are not lining up properly to commit to the short side. Bears had another golden opportunity yesterday but could not create enough downside energy. Watch VIX 13.11,...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 22, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. JJC is 42.05 above the 41.79 bull-bear line, bullish. VIX is 13.44 above the 13.12 bull-bear line, bearish. The algo is active today. Note that there is only two points separating the algo number and signal line s...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 22, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. Copper bounces today playing spoiler for the bears. Watch VIX 13.12 and JJC 41.79. VIX is 13.39, surprisingly remaining bearish, while JJC is 42.11 flipping into the bull camp creating market buoyancy. 5/26/13; 7:00...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENTon May 21, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long moving into the Tuesday session. Volatility spiked higher (helping market bears) yesterday only to fall back (helping bulls) as it has for many times recently. At the same time, copper rose yesterday. The algo identifies...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH - -LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENTon May 21, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long in a very active day for the algo. As highlighted this morning, volatility and copper are running the show today, VIX 13.12 and JJC 41.77, respectively. At the 10:34 AM signal, Keybot was a hair away from going short but...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 21, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. Copper buoyancy (JJC) provides market lift but JJC is dancing all around the 41.77 bull-bear line. VIX is under 13.12 by pennies. Things can go either way today. Watch JJC 41.77, VIX 13.12 and GTX 4795. The imminen...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 20, 2013Keybot the Quant remains bullish. Volatility falls again so the same-o story plays out in the bulls favor. Watch VIX 13.12, now at 13.07, market bullish. The broad indexes are flat to positive on the day thus far. The imminent turn notation is...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENTon May 20, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long as the new week of trading begins. Out of the gate the algo prints a number which triggers a desire to go short but other internal programming rules are not in line as yet to allow the move to the short side. One of the...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG - CAUTIONon May 19, 2013Keybot the Quant is long moving into the new week of trading. Lots of theatrics occur last week with the wild moves in volatility but the bears continue to end up on the short end. The algo continues to track volatility as the main market driver curr...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 18, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long through the weekend. Volatility collapsed yesterday providing rocket fuel for the bulls and will remain key next week. The areas and levels of interest can be identified once the pre-scheduled Sunday number pri...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENTon May 17, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. There was some late afternoon drama yesterday with volatility spiking but the bears simply do not have the oomph as yet to create a market turn. Watch VIX 13.19; now at 13.07 creating market bullishness. For the S...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 17, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. The pre-scheduled number results in a two tick move higher for the signal line. VIX collapses now printing at 12.52. SPX leaps higher to test the 1660.50 break-out level for today. The bulls are running again and t...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 16, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo number dipped under the signal line yesterday which sets the wheels in motion to flip short, however, the algo could not satisfy other programming rules to go short, so the bulls ran higher into the closing bel...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 16, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. Volatility collapses once again falling through 13.20 and the 13 level so equities recover. This takes away the imminent turn status since the algo needs to see higher volatility. The SPX moves higher but the bulls are...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENTon May 16, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long but the spike in volatility this morning is ushering in market weakness. The Nasdaq index and tech in general, however, is receiving a bullish push due to happy CSCO earnings and commentary. VIX is 13.38, above the 13.20...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 16, 2013Keybot the Quant is long. The algo prints the pre-scheduled number resulting in a one tick up move for the signal line. This provides the market bears with a smidge easier level to cross to the downside. As previously mentioned, watch VIX 13.20 and S...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 15, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long moving into the Wednesday session. Volatility, VIX, teased the 13.20 level yesterday and then collapsed sending the SPX upwards to print new all-time highs. VIX 13.20 remains key; bulls will maintain elevated marke...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 15, 2013Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo prints two numbers today as volatility moves wildly up and down, briefly piercing through the bull-bear line at 13.20 but now back under again at 12.93. The market bulls are running again today but t...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 14, 2013Keybot the Quant is long moving into the Tuesday session. Copper and volatility remain the two key market drivers currently. Watch JJC 41.92 (price is under causing bearishness) and VIX 13.25 (price is under causing bullishness). The bears need the V...
- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTIONon May 13, 2013Keybot the Quant is long to begin the week. Copper weakness appears this morning but not overly negative. JJC is 41.57 under the bull-bear line so the broad indexes are under some minor selling pressure. The algo prints a number to begin the new week...